An unfortunate event... looks at possibly middle of next week?

Well as most north of the mason-dixon line look towards the south on the radar we see a nicely developing storm. Unfotunately, due to the placement of the PV being to far west and the ridge out in the atlantic not allowing the stream flow to be NE (actually is due east) the storm is unable to come up the coast and affect many. The if only's:
-If only this cold air held off a little longer we could have possibly seen a better chance of a storm coming up the coast.
-If only the PV was just slightly further east and weaker
-If only the ridge in the atlantic was stronger
-If only the storm really got stronger and was further north.

Ohwell you can't have all of them! Many are above average and should be happy for that. Yes i know there are some out there snow starved but it eventually comes around.

Alright well looking towards the future it will be bitterly cold for the rest of today into saturday and early sunday. Sunday temps look to warm slightly higher leading to temps during the week to remain at or just above/below freezing. Typical winter average weather for this area. As far as mid week goes we have storm that is currently spinning up in the pac that looks pretty energetic. This may end up being like the last clipper in the beginning of january but there could be two differences.
1. This could end being slightly further south.
2. This might also obtain more moisture via the GOM and atlantic than the last one.

As of now most of us know nothing is even close to being set in stone! So watch whats happens with this one. The teleconnections failed me with this storm occuring now. As they printed out a +PNA -NAO and -AO the only one that occured was the negative AO the others have flatlined in neutral. So looking at teleconnections 5 days in advance can change and had for me. I would watch the upper level dynamics on the models say around 300mb and 500mb levels to get a good idea of what is going on. Those usually point what will happen and the surface reflections catch up to what is being shown aloft.

Have fun and stay tuned!

Hope your ready for some rain!

Here we go folks another lovely Midwest/ Western GLC storm! This will of course be an all rain event as the warm front surges north many areas can expect highs around 50-60 degrees. To go along with this the models have shown a healthy dose of rain, along the lines of 1.5-2.5" for many areas of PA, NJ, SE NY, and MD. As this area of rain pushes east an artic surge is poised to enter the picture. But hey there may be a suprise at the end of this storm. As the cold front passes through the region not only will the upper air temps (850, 700, and 500mb) crash but surface temps take a tumble. If any leftover precip is still around it is quite possible some areas of Central and eastern PA as well as areas of central and eastern NY into New England could see a quick changeover or mix of snow. Nothing will accumulate from this but this should be an indicator of how cold this blast will be. Back to winter we go!

I will post tomorrow on the possibilities with the storm next week and give you an update on the storm occuring.

Welcome!

This is the first time having my very own blog. I hope you all enjoy and get alot of use out of the websites and other useful information as well as my forecasts.